Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.062107 0.070271 0.078622 0.087775 0.097492 0.107473 0.118473
2025-08-17 0.048814 0.060772 0.073613 0.088288 0.104464 0.121634 0.141121
2025-08-24 0.038031 0.051845 0.067350 0.085715 0.106580 0.129287 0.155623
2025-08-31 0.030220 0.045026 0.062353 0.083540 0.108231 0.135656 0.168008
2025-09-07 0.025740 0.041494 0.060601 0.084575 0.113074 0.145220 0.183617
2025-09-14 0.022458 0.038996 0.059720 0.086316 0.118468 0.155194 0.199507
2025-09-21 0.020495 0.037944 0.060418 0.089787 0.125761 0.167254 0.217701
2025-09-28 0.017886 0.035695 0.059357 0.090900 0.130082 0.175738 0.231683
2025-10-05 0.017941 0.037174 0.063120 0.098036 0.141692 0.192798 0.255645
2025-10-12 0.015143 0.034177 0.060739 0.097218 0.143462 0.198126 0.265845
2025-10-19 0.013527 0.032775 0.060377 0.098884 0.148210 0.206941 0.280091
2025-10-26 0.011623 0.030685 0.058906 0.098983 0.150915 0.213238 0.291317
2025-11-02 0.010189 0.029301 0.058478 0.100602 0.155760 0.222420 0.306366
2025-11-09 0.008629 0.027497 0.057341 0.101224 0.159339 0.230105 0.319710
2025-11-16 0.006518 0.024282 0.053859 0.098457 0.158424 0.232171 0.326215
2025-11-23 0.004843 0.021513 0.050812 0.096108 0.157908 0.234622 0.333098
2025-11-30 0.004037 0.020410 0.050282 0.097227 0.161879 0.242606 0.346663
2025-12-07 0.003455 0.019695 0.050314 0.099109 0.166831 0.251804 0.361702
2025-12-14 0.003210 0.019770 0.051640 0.102855 0.174267 0.264126 0.380574
2025-12-21 0.002648 0.018866 0.051249 0.104056 0.178274 0.272123 0.394150
2025-12-28 0.002962 0.020492 0.055239 0.111740 0.191030 0.291195 0.421353
2026-01-04 0.002213 0.018842 0.053473 0.110860 0.192213 0.295618 0.430552
2026-01-11 0.001857 0.018259 0.053524 0.112653 0.196990 0.304586 0.445343